Fox5/Opinion Savvy Poll: Kemp 55% – Cagle 37%

A Fox5 Atlanta/Opinion Savvy poll just released by Insider Advantage shows Secretary of State Brian Kemp has opened a lead over Lt Governor Casey Cagle 55% to 37%. The poll was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday of this week among 466 registered likely voters. The Margin of Error is 4.5%. The poll mixed responses from land lines and mobile phones.

From their findings:

  • Kemp leads early voting by a 56%-41% margin
  • Cagle and Kemp are tied among the youngest of voters (18-29) but Kemp has huge leads (well over twenty points) among those age 30-44 and 45-64. Among voters of age 65 or over, the two candidates are statistically tied.
  • Kemp leads among male voters and has a substantial lead among female voters.

Early voting continues this week, with the runoff election next Tuesday July 24th.

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MikeSilverAndrew C. PopeNoway2016BenevolusSally Forth Recent comment authors
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xdog
xdog

A blowout? I’d be very surprised, given the Deal endorsement, the goper money/establishment backing and the whole idea of a Deal 2.0 administration. Of course, I’ve been surprised before.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

I wouldn’t be. The Trump electorate senses it’s the cowards backing Cagle. GOP Congressmen have held back in choosing sides because the next Governor is in position to shape their districts.

MikeSilver
MikeSilver

Many gun-owners still remember Nathan Deal’s vetoes of several gun bills, his several veto statements proclaiming that Georgia Weapons Licensees are the problem in Georgia, and his willingness to kowtow to feelings of Leftist University Professors over the Constitution.

TDubs
TDubs

Perhaps voters are seeing the CC layers. Undoubtedly some private school and charter supporters aren’t happy that CC called their budget crumbs bad policy. Especially all those charter schools he has touted that he helped start. Others undoubtedly wondered if CC was just saying what he thought someone with the last name Tippens would want to hear. Curious if the poll was before or after the Hunter Hill/Trump endorsements.

Gregs
Gregs

If this is true, pre-trump, then Casey Cagle is finished in politics. The general election will be interesting because it will offer a clear choice between two candidates who couldn’t be more different if they tried. We’ll get the definitive answer to the question about Georgia turning blue or even purple. I don’t think Georgia is even close to a being a blue state but we’ll find out.

Sally Forth
Sally Forth

Ruh roh, Cagle! Looks like the Trump endorsement is kicking in big time for Kemp. That “git off my porch!” ad resonated with regular joes and jills too. But this week’s cah-cah flinging contest by both campaigns is probably the “x” factor — making it a question of who turns off the most voters. Too bad, both are actually decent guys.

Benevolus
Benevolus

Conducted July 17-18.
So I would say that the leaked tape has had a big effect and maybe the DT endorsement too. Undecided is still about the same as the last poll so quite a few have apparently switched recently.

Noway2016
Noway2016

The Great Man’s endorsement was obviously huge!!! Wow!! A Secretariat like win now seems likely!

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

The poll was taken on the 17th and 18th. Trump’s tweet came out at 3:25 p.m. on the 18th. The polling likely doesn’t reflect any of the impact from Trump’s endorsement.
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The one thing that is consistent between your posts as Noway and your posts as Sally is the fact you don’t understand how calendars work.

Noway2016
Noway2016

You forgot my posts as Down, Silver and Alpha, right? You want me to wake up The Pumpkin?