Trump Leads Clinton by Six in Likely Voters Poll

Fifty percent of likely Georgia voters support Donald Trump while 44% support Hillary according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll of four swing states.

As you might imagine, there are “huge” gender and racial gaps between the two candidates.

Trump’s performance here in Georgia mirrors the broader national trends of the past few days with Trump improving against Clinton in multiple polls. A Monmouth University poll released on Monday had Trump leading Clinton 45-42 in Georgia.

Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll said:

“Leads for Donald Trump in Georgia and Iowa and a virtual tie in Colorado plus a 6-point lead for Clinton in Virginia represent a major improvement overall for him in these states…Another key to how the race has changed is the measure of each candidates’ ability to keep their respective bases in line. Throughout the campaign, Clinton has been able to get more Democrat support than Trump’s Republican support. That has now changed a bit and in Georgia and Iowa, Trump does better on that score. Worth noting is that Trump has an edge among independent voters, often the key swing constituency, in all four of these states.”

Georgia-specific analysis:

Hillary Clinton’s 4-percentage point edge among Georgia women likely voters can’t overcome Trump’s 21-point lead among men. Men go Republican 55 – 34 percent, as women go Democratic 45 – 41 percent.

The racial gap is huge among Georgia likely voters: White voters back Trump 72 – 16 percent, while non-white voters back Clinton 73 – 14 percent.

Trump gets 43 percent of independent voters, with 40 percent for Clinton and 14 percent for Johnson. Republicans back Trump 90 – 3 percent, as Democrats back Clinton 86 – 4 percent.

“Georgia is on Hillary Clinton’s mind as her razor-thin edge among women is eclipsed by Donald Trump’s huge lead with men,” Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll said.

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