Trump Trailing in Georgia 2020 Poll, State Rated Toss Up
Democrats: should you wish to win Georgia in 2020, simply nominate Generic Democrat.
What doesn’t augur well for Republicans is the possible future of Georgia’s electorate. (Although, as I point out repeatedly, for 20 years now the looming Democratic majority in Georgia is just one election away).
Generational change is a big reason why Georgia’s finding itself on the potential battleground state list. This poll found a generic Democrat leading Trump 64-24 among voters under 30, 59-33 when you expand it to voters under 45, and 52-43 when you expand it to voters under 65. Georgia (along with Texas) has one of the biggest age gaps we see in our polling and that makes it almost inevitable that some year- if not 2020- Democrats are going to get a big statewide win in one or both of those states.
Part of generational change in Georgia is the electorate becoming more and more racially diverse and that plays to Democrats’ advantage as well. White Georgians continue to be an incredibly Republican group, giving Trump a 69-27 advantage. But nonwhite voters- who are growing in their share of the electorate- say they will vote Democratic over Trump 84-12 next year.
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I am not a big fan of singular they. However, they is better than s/he.
I’m trying to remember the first time I saw that. Seems like it was a science fiction book. Maybe Left Hand of Darkness? Or an Asimov story? Not sure.
The thing to be remembered about polling is that Trump is so successful and such a great leader that people are embarrassed to tell pollsters of their adoration.
I think saying no to a poll question is an easy way to salve the souls of many gopers who will have no problem supporting him next Nov. It’s the Bradley effect as applied to demagogues.
Georgia remains the gop’s to lose, imo.