Kemp: Updated Numbers Show Clear Victory

From a press release from Brian Kemp’s campaign:

On Tuesday, Georgia counties reported their provisional and military/overseas ballot results to the Secretary of State’s office. Seven days after the November 6th election, businessman Brian Kemp’s lead without a runoff or recount remains clear and insurmountable. Even with lawsuits, publicity stunts, and television ads, Stacey Abrams has no viable path to a recount, runoff, or victory. In response, the Kemp for Governor campaign issued the following statement:

“Since Election night, hardworking Georgians have watched how the ‘new’ Democratic Party behaves,” said Cody Hall, Press Secretary. “From reporting fake vote totals and hosting desperate press conferences to filing dangerous lawsuits that attempt to rewrite election law, count illegal votes and create new ones, Stacey Abrams and her radical backers will stop at nothing to undermine democracy and attempt to steal this election to be Georgia’s next governor.

“After all of the theatrics, the math remains the same. Abrams lost and Brian Kemp won. This election is over. Stacey Abrams needs to concede. It’s time to move past the campaign and work towards a safer, stronger Georgia.”

As of Wednesday, November 14, 2018 (12:00 PM)
*Information below is public

Total Votes Reported: 3,938,582
Kemp: 1,978,170 (50.23%)
Abrams: 1,923,185 (48.83%)
Metz: 37,227 (.95%)

Kemp Margin: + 54,985 votes

Counties Certified: 156

Counties Remaining to Certify: 3

Counties Reporting Total Provisional Results: 159 (All counties)

Original Provisional Ballots in all 159 Counties: 21,190

Total Provisional Ballots Accepted in all 159 Counties: 11,872

Percentage of Provisional Ballots Deemed Ineligible by County Officials: 43.97%

Counties Not Yet Reporting Provisional Ballot Results: 0

Maximum Number of eligible provisional ballots outstanding in all counties: 0

Maximum Possible Remaining Outstanding Military Absentee Ballots in Counties Not Yet Certified: 0

Total possible ballots remaining: roughly 411 (absentees reported by Gwinnett County with birth date issue)

**All numbers provided are available to the general public and reported by the counties

FACT: Even if every vote (including illegally cast votes) argued for by Abrams for Governor was granted by the courts, verified, and cast for Abrams, Brian Kemp still wins this race without a runoff. No pending court decision changes that mathematical fact. This race is over. Brian Kemp is Governor-Elect.

Stacey Abrams needs to answer a simple question: Will she accept the outcome of this election and respect the will of Georgia voters, or will she continue to put personal ambitions ahead of the state by contesting this election in an attempt to have the courts help her steal this race?

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chamblee54
chamblee54

This may be a stupid question. Are inactive voters removed from the list by the state, or the counties?
It is obvious that votes are counted by the counties, and that voters are registered by the counties.

Indypendant
Indypendant

“But an investigation by Kemp’s office revealed that six days later, an additional 7,690 voters were moved from inactive to canceled status. The change was conducted within 90 days of an election — thereby in violation of the federal deadline. Most of the affected voters lived in Richmond County, although the problem involved other counties as well.”

bethebalance
bethebalance

I just don’t get the argument that concession is the right way to go, even if the math makes the loss inevitable.
If your team is down by 4 touchdowns with one minute to go, you still play out the minute. It’s called following the rules. Sure, fans may have left their seats, and only the crazy guy with the face paint even believes that there’s a chance, but since when is just being made to play by the rules such a thing to whine about?

xdog
xdog

‘fake’, ‘desperate’, ‘dangerous’, ‘illegal’, ‘radical’.

Kemp doesn’t lack the Trumpian manner, does he, in his disdain for those who disagree with him.

May his administration be interesting.

Benevolus
Benevolus

I think the issue at this point is to make sure all the votes are being counted and accounted for. For example, 44% of provisional ballots rejected? Didn’t a court just order them to review/count these? Are there any other black holes that more ballots have fallen into? Isn’t it amazing that Abrams is getting better than 70% of these late/previously rejected ballots? In any case, someday the lawsuits will be settled, the votes will be certified, and at that point I am confident Abrams will stand down. For now. But when these problems started cropping up, the Abrams campaign… Read more »

chefdavid
chefdavid

Where was the outrage when Cox didn’t resign from SOS when she ran for Governor? All Obama appointed judges ruling. Maybe Kemp needs to appeal the decisions to some Republican appointed judges.

NoParty4Me
NoParty4Me

Find “partisan” friendly judges? Because it’s a “partisan” issue??

gulch
gulch

Elections are by definiton a partisan issue. And yes the judges who ruled in favor of Abrams so far are all Democratic appointees.

NoParty4Me
NoParty4Me

And that makes instantly rule against Republicans brought before them?

Benevolus
Benevolus

Cox recused herself from election matters during the campaign. Oh, and by the way, she lost. In the primary.

And it’s not outrage, so don’t wet your pants. Certain people are telling Abrams to shut up and give up. She is not. Yet. Just relax. It’s a process, despite the stupid rhetoric from the Kemp campaign.

Benevolus
Benevolus

He would probably try, if it looked like he was going to lose.

gulch
gulch

Oh please brother. Stacey Abrams didn’t demand to “count every vote” after the primary. She also didn’t demand to “count every vote” after her state legislature races. Why? Because she won those. So this isn’t some good government exercise in democracy on behalf of the poor, downtrodden, marginalized oppressed and disenfranchised “other” but rather hardball politics geared towards a particular result. Second, Georgia GOP officials have every right to be scared and to demand that Abrams stand down. No, it isn’t because they are carrying on some massive voter disenfranchisement conspiracy. Funny how no one ever complains that this is… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

It wasn’t just that she won those prior races, it was that those races weren’t nearly as close, And her opponents conceded. Counting every vote also wasn’t a central issue or concern in those races, as they have been when running against the SoS.

gulch
gulch

This race is not close either in any meaningful sense. If it were, Kemp would not have resigned and declared victory. Have DeSantis and Scott in Florida declared victory? Here is the deal: the total number of oustanding votes is not enough to make up the tens of thousands of votes needed – 15000 at last count – to force a runoff or recount. The Abrams campaign disputes the total of outstanding votes but refuses to say where those extra votes are.

bethebalance
bethebalance

Some of the outstanding votes they’ve identified may be laid out in their Court briefs. But they’re asking for a couple of things that are a stretch.

But it’s pretty darn close, and Abrams’ legal efforts are also supporting efforts by Carolyn Bourdeaux re: Gwinnett totals, and that race is only about 900 votes difference.
It’s all meaningfully close dude.
And if all the exercise does is restore confidence in voting, or inspires that every vote matters, then it’s worth it. Because that’s “meaningful”.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

DeSantis and Scott have both declared victory. Gave speeches and everything. DeSantis has started his “transition” and Scott was up in DC for freshman orientation.

NoParty4Me
NoParty4Me

Gulch, Please explain how a candidate is expected to have privileged information on the exact number of outstanding votes from every county in Georgia? and why a candidate should be required to speculate how many are theirs?

NoParty4Me
NoParty4Me

So, if Kemp won, why does he still have a campaign staff sending out these petty, vicious press releases attacking Abrams on a near daily basis? fake’, ‘desperate’, ‘dangerous’, ‘illegal’, ‘radical’.. and the recent whine about ‘liberal lawyers’ filing lawsuits. If it’s over, then cut the nasty campaign and move on.

Benevolus
Benevolus

Republicans want to stop counting votes even when they are losing:
“Utah Rep. Love sues to halt vote count”
https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/15/utah-mia-love-elections-991278

Just like ‘smaller government” is the answer to every policy question, “stop counting votes” is the answer to every campaign question?

Benevolus
Benevolus
bethebalance
bethebalance

This struck me as odd, so I clicked through.
The request is not to stop the vote counting entirely, but to stop the counting so that Rep. Love can contest ballots in real-time as they are reviewed.
So she wants the recount to continue- but on her terms.

Benevolus
Benevolus

It is odd. It is pretty close to saying “Let us count the votes”.

Noway2016
Noway2016
Noway2016
Noway2016

Sorry for wrong location

gulch
gulch

Another example of how the media is in the tank for the Democrats on this (and generally): https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/judge-to-make-potentially-significant-ruling-on-georgia-absentee-ballots/872653835 Headline: “Judge to make potentially significant ruling on Georgia absentee ballots!!!” You have to read to the bottom of the column – which most people won’t do – to find this nugget: “As many as 2,000 ballots were dismissed because of such problems.” So this lawsuit will have NO EFFECT on the outcome because the gap is over 15000! Still more. The AJC declared that a federal judge ruling allowed for 27.000 provisional ballots to be reviewed: https://politics.myajc.com/news/state–regional-govt–politics/judge-orders-review-provisional-ballots-georgia-election/ZM2yd0QGkyZ8Zi1IyVpF3H/ The deadline for reviewing… Read more »

Gregs
Gregs

https://www.myajc.com/news/state–regional-govt–politics/georgia-gov-race-still-uncertain-judges-weigh-legal-challenges/8Wrll6dHjphL4MsN0qsjRM/

The articles I read present both points of view and let the reader decide what to accept. You seem to be calling for the AJC to adopt your point of view or else.

Abrams and others have raised significant issues about voting right in state where Republican majorities have done everything they could to make it harder to register and to vote. If you think he won then lets count all the votes and the election will be over.

Benevolus
Benevolus

If you believe the media (the most well-informed citizens) is biased, and you believe higher education (the most well-educated citizens) is biased, wouldn’t you question why you are on the other side of them?

bethebalance
bethebalance

Maybe you were misled – or misunderstand- the words “potentially” and/or “significant”?
Maybe you only judge significance by winning or losing, and not how you play the game?
As for the rest, I’m just not sure you understand how evidence is gathered and presented. Do you think Judges make final decisions without evidence?

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

One of the best reasons for counting every single vote this time is the next time. No more “Well since we won this time we’ll figure out all this stuff out next time.” No, we’re going to figure it out this time. Issues need to be identified and resolved and perhaps changes made.

FreeDuck
FreeDuck

I really wish he would take more of a high road here. If he’s confident in his victory, then it’s time to start acting like a governor-elect. Recognizing how narrow a victory it is, he and his team should refrain from such hyperbolic language with respect to his opponent. Something more along the lines of “we recognize this was a close race, he will be declared the winner when all the votes are cast, and we wish Ms. Abrams well in her future endeavors” would go a long way toward making him look like less of an incompetent prick. Especially… Read more »

Noway2016
Noway2016

What’s the latest on Delayin’ Stacey?

Noway2016
Noway2016

What all of these theft attempts show the Repubs is that there will be at least two Repub election attorneys on the ground in every single House and Senate contest in 2020. Every Single One.

bethebalance
bethebalance

Every competent candidate should have plenty of lawyers at the ready.
Otherwise you’re relying on retired volunteer poll workers, various obsolescent machines that break down (or get hacked), idiosyncratic local Elections Boards and officials, and partisan everything.