Morning Reads for Tuesday, November 6

Remind me, what’s today?

I compile (curate?) the GeorgiaPol Morning Reads every Tuesday, which means that I get to do them every Election Day – and I decided a while back that it’s best if Election Day Morning Reads are wholly apolitical. If this makes you twitchy, go play Tetris for an hour or so (no, seriously: go play Tetris!)

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The Eigerchamblee54Enjoy the SilenceEllynnDave Bearse Recent comment authors
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armanidog
armanidog

A rainy day in Georgia. Hopefully everyone can get to the polls and cast their vote.
An ecology professor at UGA won an Emmy award:
“Winning an Emmy award is not a typical accomplishment for scientists. However, for James Porter, a University of Georgia ecology professor, it was an extension of his work as a scientist and educator.

“I see both my Sundance win, my Peabody award and my Emmy award as a direct outcome of my teaching,” Porter said.”

https://www.redandblack.com/uganews/uga-professor-wins-an-emmy-brings-awareness-to-environmental-issues/article_b0136f14-dfc1-11e8-bd1b-1b48bd202b7d.html

xdog
xdog

I think you’re right to skip political posts today.

I heard ‘Africa’ yesterday, not by choice.

Ellynn
Ellynn

Best lines in the RS article. (1983 was a hell of a year for Number One hits, but we all thought history would be a lot kinder to “Come on Eileen” or “Maniac.”) Toto seemed vaguely out of place — a leftover 1970s posse of L.A. session pros, competing with A Flock of Seagulls and Kajagoogoo. The 49 year old me enjoyed the facetious yet sarcastic irony of this very true statement. 14 year old me that lived through this time period thinks back fondly on her MTV binges on -20 degree Saturdays in January, singing along (driving her mother… Read more »

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Just cast my ballot! Always makes me happy to see the volunteers and poll watchers who keep this experiment in self-governance going.

We doing predictions thread at some point? I got takes so hot Mike Hassinger is gonna need shades.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Go ahead and do your predictions! I’m curious…

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

“Pessimistic”
House: D+25
Senate: R+1 (GOP wins MO & ND, lose NV)
GA Gov: Abrams 49% – Kemp 49% (race goes to runoff)
FL Gov: Gillum 51% – DeSantis 48%

“Optimistic”
House: D+40
Senate: D+2 (Dems hold all their seats and win AZ & NV)
GA Gov: Abrams 50% – Kemp 48% (race barely avoids runoff)
FL Gov: Gillum 53% – DeSantis 46%

Enjoy the Silence
Enjoy the Silence

I am going to take a hack at this too:

Pessimistic
House: R+6
Senate: R+2
GA Gov: Abrams 47% – Kemp 51%
FL Gov: Gillum 48% – DeSantis 51%

Optimistic
House: D+20
Senate: D +1
GA Gov: Abrams 49% – Kemp 49% (race goes to runoff)
FL Gov: Gillum 52% – DeSantis 48%

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

I’ll limit it to “optimistic”, by which I mean generally a tad more than poll projections of the weekend. (Just following some of the recent polls that seem to generally have moved a wee bit in that direction from a Dem perspective – FL Gov and Senate for example, and particularly in US House races.) I don’t know that optimistic is enough to carry Abrams to the Gov mansion, or move the needle in the US Senate.

Will Durant
Will Durant

I wish this wasn’t like team games on a sports book. That being said, I’ve been very clear on who I want for governor and why, but I don’t think it’s going to happen. This is still Georgia.

House: D +35
Senate: R +1
Governor: Kemp 51 Abrams 48
Republicans run the table on other statewide races
Amendments all pass.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Love the continuity from yesterday.

Benevolus
Benevolus

I hated Toto back in the day. I was into angry garage rock like Graham Parker and Patti Smith. Toto and Asia and 10cc were the opposite of that.
But now I have come to… appreciate… the song, just for the craft of it. It is a well constructed song.

I still really dislike Air Supply and Duran Duran though.

That is a really nice short story by McCullers. Thank you for that.
I doubt I can learn to love ‘Rio’ though.

armanidog
armanidog

Toto had well crafted songs but they had no emotional impact for me. kinda like Abba.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Here’s one that pretty much forgotten but awesome nonetheless. A combo of Asia and Yes, I believe! GTR…
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=ARERFbiqCfk

Will Durant
Will Durant

Hell for me would have an Air Supply soundtrack.

Ellynn
Ellynn

Mine would be Conway Twitty… (shutters in dread)

xdog
xdog

I’m happy to share Conway and the rest of the Twitty Birds rocking to Johnny B Goode, circa 1969.
https://youtu.be/PYipsRNXAAk

Benevolus
Benevolus

My wife tells this story about how her and her sisters were on the highway years ago and they see Conway’s tour bus. As they are passing, there are outside speakers on that bus and out of them comes the words… “Hello Darlin’.”

Ellynn
Ellynn

Nope. I suffer from Country music PTSD, being forced to listen to my dad’s collection over and over and over (sometimes the same album 6 times in a row) from birth to 10. After years of small doses, almost 40 years later I can listen to Johnny Cash in small amounts except for Ring of Fire (those f**ing trumpets) Conway and Charlie Rich are just evil.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Do you all remember when Charlie Rich lit a pic of John Denver on fire when Denver won a huge country music award many years ago. Denver was off-site and could not see the goings on.

Benevolus
Benevolus

I was like that with swing and jazz. My dad had a huge collection, Armstrong, Basie, Sinatra. I really despised it all at the time, but now I have come to really like it.

The stuff I still really don’t like is all that semi-easy-listening 70’s/80’s stuff you couldn’t escape: Fleetwood Mac, The Eagles, Supertramp, Steely Dan.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Graham Parker is a name I hadn’t heard anyone mention in awhile. What a story about his overdose and burial.

Will Durant
Will Durant

You’re confusing Graham Parker with Gram Parsons. A country-rock founder and a Keith Richards drug/musician buddy who gave Emmylou Harris her start in the biz.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Yep I did — more evidence I hadn’t heard Parsons name in a while. The music genre reference should’ve been a hint to check before writing.

chamblee54
chamblee54

If Graham Parker had looked like Sting, or Bruce Springsteen, he would have been a superstar. Unfortunately, Mr. Parker looked like Big Bird’s racist uncle.

Benevolus
Benevolus

lol. Probably true!

Ellynn
Ellynn

Huge Duran Duran fan (have all their albums include the newer ones), and I dislike Rio.

I listened almost everything… except country music.

Benevolus
Benevolus

I bet you listened to at least a little bit of country too.
Move It On Over- country
Crazy- country
Whiskey River- country
Jambalaya- country

Ellynn
Ellynn

Hank Williams just makes me cringe when I here it. (one of dad’s repeat favorites) I can tolerate the Thorogood cover of Move It on Over, Jambalaya, If done zydeco or by Jeff Healey.. sure why not. Crazy is just one of those ‘it’s there, I know i’t songs, Same as Whiskey River. It’s not like I don’t know country songs, I just don’t listen to them and in most cases I don’t like the majority of them. I like Bluegrass, Rockabilly, Blues, I even like some of Chris Stapleton’s more blues/rock stuff. I do have to let Country music… Read more »

Benevolus
Benevolus

Every genre has a few exceptional standouts. Even disco!
https://youtu.be/Fa9n7GirhsI

armanidog
armanidog
chefdavid
chefdavid
Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

It’s gotta be tough. Your party’s candidate for Governor was bequeathed a statewide office where indications were that party voters would not elect him to if it were open. Only days before the election he’s revealed an abject incompetent with respect to a primary responsibility of that office. His response to the prospect of that incompetence becoming public was to demonstrate he’s unfit for any public office with important elements of non-partisan responsibility with behavior that blatantly prioritizes personal gain and ambition over public office responsibility. The longer the time between acknowledging he’s a failed candidate with respect to endorsement… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Word now from Kemp’s office is that the most recent vulnerability was never a threat, despite software being changed last night only hours before an election.

Combine brazen lying with Kemp’s last night’s tweet: “The Black Panther Party is backing my opponent. RT if you think Abrams is TOO EXTREME for Georgia!.”

And you have Kemp doing the GaGOP proud!

Sonny Perdue chipped in as well, Campaigning in FL, he called the Fl gubenartorial election “cotton pickin’ important.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

In the spirit of Simpsons references and election day, I present the greatest campaign ad of all time:

chamblee54
chamblee54

https://www.ajc.com/news/local-govt–politics/city-council-approves-billion-subsidy-package-for-gulch-project/gFr7QJJF9f0UvvM4hzV7YM/
Meanwhile, while most people were paying attention to the election, Atlanta City Council approved the gulch project. The vote was taken shortly before midnight, on the night before the election. This might be a coincidence.

The Eiger
The Eiger

Pessimistic
House: D+45
Senate: D+1 (All incumbents win and McSally loses in AZ)
GA Gov: Abrams 48% – Kemp 50.5%
FL Gov: Gillum 53% – DeSantis 47 %

Optimistic
House: D+30
Senate: R+3 (McSally wins, Republicans win in ND, MO and IN. Nelson wins reelection in FL)
GA Gov: Abrams 47% – Kemp 52%
FL Gov: Gillum 51% – DeSantis 49%

No house seats change parties in Georgia. Handel wins with 54%, but Rob Woodall is the one the comes the closest to losing. He wins with 51%.

Will Durant
Will Durant

Left off this prognostication:

Due to Kemp’s failure to resign the governor’s race is due a lengthy court case, might even go to the Supremes.

Will Durant
Will Durant

Kemp turns election system worries into a political weapon
With the clock winding down before Tuesday’s vote, Georgia’s chief elections officer, who is also running for governor, turned a report of an alleged vulnerability in the election system he oversees into a political weapon in a race he is hoping to win.
Republican Brian Kemp on Monday stood by his decision to level claims of attempted hacking at Democrats, turning their objections — and the concerns of nonpartisan civil rights groups — into an election eve selling point.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/05/politics/kemp-georgia-vote/index.html

Noway2016
Noway2016

Repubs win 5 new senate seats for total of 56. Manchin loses.

Repubs keep House.

FL and Ga governors go Repub.

The Eiger
The Eiger

I wish you were right, but I don’t see a path to Republicans keeping the House. I will say that I’m a little more optimistic by seeing the early turnout numbers. Republicans are in a good spot here in Georgia. I can’t speak for the rest of the country.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

If we’re making predictions from the loony bin, I’ll join in:

House: D+55 (Handel and Woodall go home)
Senate: D+4 (hold all seats + AZ, NV, TN, TX)
GA Gov: Abrams 51% – Kemp 48%
GA Down Ballot: Barrow & Bailey win
FL Gov: Gillum 54% – DeSantis 43%

Ellynn
Ellynn

Lean R Base Case Prediction House D +22, (Hunter(CA) resigns D gains majority 2019, Senate R+3 (gain ND, MO, IN, NJ, loose AZ, possible FL/NV party flip) GA Gov. Kemp 49, Abrams 47, Kemp wins run off All GA State down ballots remain R FA Gov. Gillum 50+ DeSanta 49 WI Gov. Walker under 51, Evers 46 (Green party takes 4%, Walker forced to send Koch Brothers hand written X mas cards for life) Lean D Best Case Prediction House D +42 (Woodall loses by less then 1000, WI-6 Kohl 50+ Grothman 48) Senate D +1 (gain AZ, NV, lose… Read more »

chamblee54
chamblee54

Voting a write in candidate is fun. When you click on the write in box, a keyboard appears on the screen. You type in “Carlton Heston” in the GA06 race. The name then appears on a screen, with a check mark next to it.

Ellynn
Ellynn
Ellynn
Ellynn

Election twitter Reporter commentary Part II

https://twitter.com/joeheim/status/1059792722586943488?s=11

(I thought of Charlie when I saw it.)