October 1, 2018 4:10 PM
VERY Late Afternoon Reads for Monday, October 1, 2018
Y’all. Today is a Monday. However, we only have 5 more of these bad boys before Election Day!
- Update…all but two cows accounted for after crash on I-285.
- There’s a NAFTA deal!
- A Pike County football player who was hurt during a game on Friday has died from his injuries.
- GE’s CEO removed from position.
- KellyAnne Conway revels she is also a victim of sexual assault.
- Today marks one year since the Las Vegas Shooting Spree.
- Here’s the latest Politically Georgia Podcast.
- GOP Senators demand probe of Diane Feinstien’s office.
- 12 Year Old Boy Scout dies after being buried in sand at event.
- We don’t trust polling anymore, right? Just me? Ok.
About Author
Theresa Garcia Robertson
Wife. Mama. Foodie. Political Junkie. Southern Enthusiast. Taco Lover.
6 Comments
Add a Comment
You must be logged in to post a comment.
I wonder if Kellyanne has any corroboration of that.
:sarcasm:
At this point it’s only she said, so she’s got that going for her.
That article linked wasnt about polls…it was the surge in voter registration. Particularly for those under 35. That is bad news for the GOP. Its also going to throw off any “likely voter” poll, since they probably dont count that many under 35 as likely to vote. 60% enthusiasm to vote from this group is much better than previous 39%
I’m hoping some polling experts around here can chime in, but I have to think that the polls would likely have gotten incrementally better since 2016– mostly because the samples of “likely voters” should now be more comprehensive and representative if the voter rolls from 2016 are used to predict likely voters. Sure, there may be yet more folks who are categorized unlikely to vote that may will turn out, or likely voters who stay home, but one has to think that the 2016 changes in turnout are incorporated into the sampling now. But there could still be major unexpected changes in turnout, I suppose- maybe particularly so for Dems.
No one to comment on whether the 2016 voters have been wrapped up into sampling for this cycle? Maybe it varies by company?
You really cant compare 2016 LVs (presidential year) to 2018 (midterm). It is usually much lower and more republican if you look at past midterms. Thats why I say it is going to be very hard to come up with a correct polling balance. You basically have to make an educated guess as to what the electorate will look like.