VERY Late Afternoon Reads for Monday, October 1, 2018

Y’all. Today is a Monday. However, we only have 5 more of these bad boys before Election Day!

 

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Dave BearsebethebalanceScottNAtlantaBenevolusAndrew C. Pope Recent comment authors
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Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Since Tom Cotton is leading the charge against Sen. Feinstein’s office, I’d like to issue the friendly reminder that Cotton intentionally withheld consent on Cassandra Butts’ nomination to be Ambassador to the Bahamas. . What was Cotton’s principled motivation for opposing Ms. Butts? In addition to being an accomplished attorney and educational policy expert, Butts was a personal friend of Barack Obama. Tom Cotton opposed Butts’ nomination “to inflict special pain on the President.” Butts died of cancer less than a year later, still awaiting a Senate vote. . So the next time you see Cotton with his panties in… Read more »

Benevolus
Benevolus

I wonder if Kellyanne has any corroboration of that.

:sarcasm:

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

At this point it’s only she said, so she’s got that going for her.

ScottNAtlanta
ScottNAtlanta

That article linked wasnt about polls…it was the surge in voter registration. Particularly for those under 35. That is bad news for the GOP. Its also going to throw off any “likely voter” poll, since they probably dont count that many under 35 as likely to vote. 60% enthusiasm to vote from this group is much better than previous 39%

bethebalance
bethebalance

I’m hoping some polling experts around here can chime in, but I have to think that the polls would likely have gotten incrementally better since 2016– mostly because the samples of “likely voters” should now be more comprehensive and representative if the voter rolls from 2016 are used to predict likely voters. Sure, there may be yet more folks who are categorized unlikely to vote that may will turn out, or likely voters who stay home, but one has to think that the 2016 changes in turnout are incorporated into the sampling now. But there could still be major unexpected… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

No one to comment on whether the 2016 voters have been wrapped up into sampling for this cycle? Maybe it varies by company?

ScottNAtlanta
ScottNAtlanta

You really cant compare 2016 LVs (presidential year) to 2018 (midterm). It is usually much lower and more republican if you look at past midterms. Thats why I say it is going to be very hard to come up with a correct polling balance. You basically have to make an educated guess as to what the electorate will look like.