Morning Reads for Tuesday, September 11

Good morning. Here is one veteran’s reflection on September 11. In the 17 years since the attack, here is an overview of what’s been built at the WTC site.

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Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Shana tova, everyone! Let’s make 5779 the best year yet! . I saw a link from Noway yesterday about Peter Strzok sending a text message about a “media leak strategy.” I’d link to his article but I don’t like sending traffic to Tucker Carlson’s white grievance blog. Since the President and one of his large adult sons are now tweeting about it, I feel like I should probably point out some things for those of us around here who value nuance. . One, here’s the Carter Page article Strzok and Lisa Page are referring to in their text exchange: https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/alimwatkins/a-former-trump-adviser-met-with-a-russian-spy… Read more »

xdog
xdog

Shana tova, Andrew.

bethebalance
bethebalance

Shana tova y’all..
Blessings for this year and every year.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

There’s a tremendous symbolism to the trolls electing to wallow in yesterday’s post on this rather than grapple with the actual facts behind the Daily Caller article.

chamblee54
chamblee54

The Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, also known as McCain–Feingold Act, requires candidates for federal offices to have a disclaimer in their advertising. It is now boilerplate… I am Joe Blow, and I approved this message.
Question: Is there any requirement like this for state and local races?
Are the so-called surveys from 2020 Insight, which are really advertising for one candidate, legal?

bethebalance
bethebalance

To memory, there has to be a “Paid for by” statement somewhere. Of course, if it’s 501c4 or a Super PAC funded by c4’s, good luck finding out who actually paid for it. Or good luck if it’s just one of those super-secret covert (illegal) ads that never gets investigated/prosecuted. As for the line between surveys and advertising, the line will be where it has been: Express advocacy for the election or defeat of a candidate or ballot issue. I.e. implied advocacy spending won’t require the same types of disclosures. But that is a line that could be tested. I… Read more »

NoParty4Me
NoParty4Me

The obsession with polls is crazy. I totally agree with you that surveys/polls are one of the most effective campaign tools. Pushing polls by political parties on news programs is just free advertising and wrong on so many levels. The strategy works. Getting people to vote for “most likely” candidate over wasting vote on “failing candidate” is the goal. Polls are pushed by political consultants and political parties.

chamblee54
chamblee54

This was not a survey. It was an ad for a paying candidate. While this may, or may not, be illegal, it is tacky. https://chamblee54.wordpress.com/2018/09/11/robocall-survey/

GeorgiaHack
GeorgiaHack

In Georgia there is no provision to put a paid for by line on anything printed or online. ON TV and radio is another story.

xdog
xdog

Trump’s gift is such that he’s made a mean-spirited garden gnome of an attorney like Sessions into an admirable figure.

As to why he makes up things, it’s what he does, what he’s always done, at least since Roy Cohn. He lies when you ask him what time it is, just to keep in practice.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

That is what Mueller is doing ! Making Trump a sympathetic figure! Now that is hard to do! But with everyone against him, committing crimes to take him out before and after the election, a lying press that is nonstop radically biased, case in point that nitwit Joe Scarborough saying Trump is worse than Bin Laden…on 9-11 yet!! Conservative candidates being stabbed, shot and intimidated, millions in their pink hats…. Meanwhile the economy couldn’t be better… folks are working and the prophets of doom and horror sound like blithering fools. Libs are so over playing their handhead and once again… Read more »

Benevolus
Benevolus

I hope it wasn’t Chuck Norris who wrote the OpEd because then Trump would have to kick his a$$.

Noway2016
Noway2016

So, no closer to a probable landfall location for the hurricane? Folks need accurate info on this.

Will Durant
Will Durant

Then perhaps President Trump needs to quit slicing NOAA’s budget as in 20% for FY2018 and now 16% for FY2019; all because he finds their long term data an inconvenient truth.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Kelly and Mattis are doing disservice to the US military and our system of government if they’re lying. to protect Trump.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Apparently they are not lying —-and the disservice is the disinformation campaign on a daily basis from the left. Shocker right? I bet the lying press and folks on this blog will be saying this is Trump’s Katrina before the damn storm hits. It will be a racist storm and Trump caused it because of climate change…never mind libs consume just as much energy and do nothing but squawk. If this the biggest storm in 60 years (which is BS but who cares) how could there be a big ass storm 60 years ago before the global warming “crisis” and… Read more »

Ellynn
Ellynn
Noway2016
Noway2016

Why don’t you link one to Ray “School Bus” Nagin letting hundreds of buses just sit there during Katrina? I wonder if he’s out of jail yet?

Ellynn
Ellynn

Why can’t I point out the last 13 years of FEMA failures stretching 3 presidents, a half dozen FEMA directors and multiple Homeland sectaries? And it’s not all Emergency management issues.

Caroline
Caroline

I just love the smell of wingnut welfare in the afternoon. Sheesh. Residents of New Orleans received no pre-Katrina warning from federal or state officials, nor from hurricane or engineering experts, that the city’s leveescould breach and fail. They weren’t looking to jump aboard buses and evacuate because they thought they were relatively safe; they didn’t anticipate that levee construction problems would end up destroying their homes and lives. So it was a yet another massive failure of the heckofajob Bush Administration.

Ellynn
Ellynn

IMHO FEMA has become less effective since it fell under the Department of Homeland Security. Once it was turned into a cabinet level position after hurricane Andrew. It was extremely effective under James Witt. Since 2003 it has become the redheaded step child of DHS. Witt did state interaction training and set up national disaster recovery review systems for checking structures and infrastructure by state level professionals and private sector volunteers. Example, when tornadoes hit Oklahoma 5 years ago, out of state architects, building inspectors and structural engineers were on site in 48 hours to make sure they were safe… Read more »

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Sure Caroline! New Orleans is six to eight feet below sea level. That hasn’t changed has it? So the local libs couldn’t figure out with a category 5 storm out in the gulf a week it hit, they had nothing to worry about. Why did everyone else evacuate? We they listening to YOUR report? Boy that is liberal revisionist history at its best. Why don’t you go tell the folks in downtown Charleston not to worry. They are at least a foot or two above sea level….

Ellynn
Ellynn

The last time I noted someone making a bathroom into a political event was when folks allowing transsexuals into a ladies room…

Will Durant
Will Durant

“Trump’s Katrina” has already occurred; it was called Maria. He announced today that his response was an “unsung success”. The Puerto Ricans beg to differ. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/11/trump-scandal-hurricane-maria-puerto-rico Puerto Rico only recently announced that everyone has finally had their electricity restored. $16 billion or thereabouts was spent with a fair amount of it squandered to mainland profiteers. To put a perspective on that Puerto Rico is a U.S. Territory with 3.4 million U.S. citizens. More Americans than 21 states. We annually send $38 billion in military aid to a theocracy in the Middle East and it isn’t even a possession.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Will don’t forget the $150 billion Obama sent the Mullahs in Iran and the 2 billion in cash on those pallets in the cargo planes!

Are you arguing we should spend far less in foreign aid and storm rebuilding? It sure sounds like it.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Teri, building off of your link to the importance of libraries, Marketplace had a story this morning about investing in social infrastructure like … public libraries.
https://www.marketplace.org/2018/09/11/sustainability/social-infrastructure-helps-keeps-us-safe

Lea Thrace
Lea Thrace

Loved listening to this piece today. I’d never thought of libraries in that way but it makes sense.

Benevolus
Benevolus

I was in touch with a group called The Rural Library Project a few years ago. They were trying to build a library in every county in Georgia. I thought they had a good plan. Only some of the website is still there. I guess the funding dried up.
http://www.rurallibraryproject.org/Projects.html

jbgotcha
jbgotcha

Trump’s disgusting reaction to 9/11 mere minutes after the towers fell: https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-september-11-interview-tallest-building-manhattan-2017-9 These audio will probably be tweeted a lot today. Maybe even covered in the media as well. It has been before. And the “take” is always the same: Donald gonna Donald. But since today is emotionally resonant for us – since our memories are ripened, I ask you to imagine something…Go to that moment. Especially if you knew someone at a location in that attack. Now, imagine making that call yourself, mere minutes after the towers fell. When the initial smoke was still billowing. Imagine you’re him –… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

Most notable in the interview is the complete absence of any compassion.
Not even any thoughts and prayers.
There was only two sentences where he even discussed human beings.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Trump took in a lot on 9/11 from his Manhattan apartment. . “I watched when the World Trade Center came tumbling down. And I watched in Jersey City, N.J., where thousands and thousands of people were cheering as that building was coming down. Thousands of people were cheering.” Donald J. Trump at a Birmingham, AL campaign rally 21 Nov 2015 . George Stephanopoulos asked Trump on 22 Nov 2015 if he had misspoke the day before, noting that “the police say that didn’t happen.” . “It was on television. I saw it. It was well covered at the time, George.… Read more »

jbgotcha
jbgotcha

He’s pushing out a narrative – injecting it right into the bloodstream of the media, mere minutes after those towers fell. Why? Let’s establish some known knowns: 1. At that time, and after, Donald Trump was laundering Semion Mogilevich’s money. Of this, there is no doubt. 2. Semion Mogilevich was a known partner – supplier of arms & material – to Osama Bin Laden & Al-Qaeda. Of this, there is no doubt. This fact is known & well-accepted. It is also the “Why” behind Felix Sater. To familiarize yourself, read: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-12/ex-trump-associate-sater-outlines-decades-of-spy-work-for-u-s 2.B) I’m not a fan of this glamour piece… Read more »

jbgotcha
jbgotcha

Now, the above is all factual: Donald Trump laundered/launders Semion’s money; Semion was/is in business w/ Osama Bin Laden, Al Qaeda, & other terrorist groups/regimes; & Felix Sater was targeted & used by DOJ/FBI to get info on 9/11 attacks because of his connections to Semion.

jbgotcha
jbgotcha

But from here on, this is THEORY. “The Over-Under of Semion Mogilevich.” It’s rooted in the weirdness:”Axis of Evil.” Remember when you first heard it? Did you have the same reaction I did, when North Korea was thrown in? I mean, I got Iran & Iraq – the neighbors. But North Korea – what was that about? Why was Bush throwing them in TOGETHER? Well, what if you were him – looking at intelligence that had Semion Mogilevich (the f*cker in business with Bin Laden) selling (or attempting to sell) nuclear material to those three regimes? That would tie them… Read more »

Will Durant
Will Durant

Going with Teri’s methane theme, if we were to harness the President’s emissions for energy would that be considered burning a fossil fuel?

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Great idea Will. We could also use the entire radical socialist agenda and the worthless hot air and promises it has belched out since Karl Marx came up with the scam! We should at least acknowledge all the millions of lives lost, wars fought and misery that the socialist agenda is responsible for. We can say a prayer for our brothers and neighbors in Cuba and Venezuela that were stupid enough to glom on to that philosophy. We could also use all of the hot air and lies regarding collusion and Trump that are emanating daily from the press, the… Read more »

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

since Karl Marx came up with the scam!
.
I’m sorry, do you think Karl Marx invented socialism? Socialism, as a political and economic concept, dates back to antiquity. In England, the roots of socialism can be traced back to the English Civil War and post-war groups like the Levellers. Heck, Robert Owen, Saint-Simon, and Charles Fourier predated Marx by over 100 years.
.
Dude, you’ve got no clue what you’re talking about.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Thanks genius. It is not novel approach. It is a failure then as now. That is my point. Thanks for helping me make it. Better question, why is it the foundation of the today’s democratic party? Don’t deny it. Ask Bernie or the rest of the kooks. Must less Miss Cortez whatever from NY… Capitalism is just the opposite and leads to freedom and prosperity…warts and all. Most libs have no context of anything other than from the 8th grade on… so thanks for the post. It is helping them. Not me.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

I’m not sure I understand your question and it’s hard to respond to it without fully grasping just what you’re talking about. Can you please explain what you understand socialism to be?

Benevolus
Benevolus

Many people have said socialism is bad. Many, many smart people. Believe me. Anyone who says socialism isn’t bad is fake. It’s a failing system and everyone knows it. If they had a choice, most people would not choose socialism. Only I can prevent socialism from taking over , though. It’s a big problem but I’ve already fixed it. You won’t see socialism taking hold here because I passed a law. I signed it. The fake news didn’t cover it though.

bethebalance
bethebalance

It has been said that only Siths think in black and white.
I didn’t say it. Obi-Wan did.
But I would say that thinking in only black and white reflects a necessary but simplistic stage. Like learning to read Dick and Jane. Sure, you gotta learn to read, but if you’re still reading Dick and Jane books at your age, your brain has been wasted.

Benevolus
Benevolus

What’s wrong with Dick and Jane? If America had kept to the original text and not inserted a bunch of liberal propaganda like diversity and editions for below average readers we would be better off! Training kids to be below average just turns them into snowflakes! They are probably the same people who want different bathrooms for every personality type you can imagine! How many bathrooms do we have to have? I don’t want anyone to see my fat belly. Can I have my own bathroom?

chamblee54
chamblee54

Our current POTUS is famous for his incontinent use of twitter. Here is how W does twitter. https://twitter.com/GeorgeWBush

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Here is a link to the Strzok, Page emails describing the leaking strategy of the FBI to the press to set up Trump and Carter page.

Does this bother any of the libs on this blog?

This is a massive fraud perpetrated by FBI and Intelligence agencies. There is no crime committed by Trump but the crime is right here by the FBI and others. Is this a coup to get rid of Trump?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/09/11/strzok-page-texts-on-media-leak-strategy-fuel-trump-fury-at-doj-nothing-is-being-done.html

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

I already addressed this earlier. Scroll up. You’ll see it. . First, the DOJ’s IG spent over a year investigating Strzok and Lisa Page. He wrote a 500 page report on it. He investigated the very texts Mark Meadows is concerned about. He found no impropriety with their discussions about how to investigate leaks to the media. . Second, you’re honestly expecting us to believe that Strzok would go through tremendous personal effort to get a secret FISA order on Carter Page and then, all of two seconds later, turn around and tell the entire world about it? . Third,… Read more »

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Yea little buddy, we will see who is lying real quick!! We already know who is lying! Hey why did we just get the email about Strzok, Page and the FBI leaking strategy just a few days ago? Not a year and a half ago…do you think they were trying to hide them?!

How much time to you think Strzok gets and McCabe who will be indicted shortly? And Andrew why have so many folks at the FBI been fired or reassigned? Was it for doing a great job?!

Benevolus
Benevolus

Hey bedwetter, maybe you just got the memo because your 2 sources of “info” finally got permission from the Fascist In Chief to share it.
Of course you already know who is lying, because you have a mirror in your basement apartment.
Are you keeping score of who gets fired? I hope so! I don’t care if it’s a deep state conspiracy or not. Winning is the only thing that matters.

Caroline
Caroline

If you want to figure out who Trump wants to fire look into who has taken down Russian mobsters or is an expert in Russian money laundering in the FBI. Bruce Ohr is an expert in all this and that is why Trump has been going after him. It is the same thread through all the FBI agents he goes after.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Benev….”I don’t care if its a deep state conspiracy or not” “Winning is the only thing that matters”….thanks for being honest. It is a deep state conspiracy. There is no denying that.

Just wait until its focus is a radical lib. That wont happen until the swamp dwellers go to jail. At least you admit you don’t give a damn.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Yea little buddy, we will see who is lying real quick!!
.
Spoiler alert: it’s you. I actually provided support for my position. What do you have?
.
Hey why did we just get the email about Strzok, Page and the FBI leaking strategy just a few days ago?
.
Because the Trump Administration thinks that leaking this through Mark Meadows and Sara Carter will shore up his base after a run of really bad polling and headlines.
.
Further, as my news links show, we aren’t “just hearing” about this. The Wolfe indictment has been known for some time now.
.
Do try and keep up.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Or he’s of both schools at the same time. Just like his cult leader.

Noway2016
Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Agreed. Thanks, Mr. Obama.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Thanks Obama—for leaving! Nice speech the other day and right back to his divisive rhetoric —while acting like he is above the fray! What a joke! He is eyeball deep in the Trump conspiracy as well! Sure was nice of his cluelessness to have the audacity to say there were no “scandals” while he was in office. One of the biggest in history is blowing up in his face right now! I guess the IRS abuses didn’t come under his watch either. Benghazi, red lines drawn and crossed, endless taxation…just go home Obama….well I don’t know if I would want… Read more »

Noway2016
Noway2016

Ok. Now is time for one of you goobers to demand DTM’s banning. Every post he does calmly lays out Lib crap and you bed wetters have no answer other than to squalk butt hurt to the moderators to ban him, me, Alpha and the rest! Ok, Weenies, do your worst!

MattMD_actual
MattMD_actual

Your trolling game is weak, homie.

Will Durant
Will Durant

I wouldn’t dream of having DTM banned. A finer example of lock-stepping Limbaugh lackey cannot be found, (Trump didn’t fit my alliterative bent there). I’m sure you two’s Heckle and Jeckle (last week with a touch of Amos and Andy as well) routine has done more damage to President Trump and Republicans in this little sphere than a hundred card carrying Democrats. Just for a challenge I’m going to just start tossing up a word or phrase to see how long it takes DTM to segue it (well, in his mind), to another Mueller/Collusion tirade. OK DTM? Today’s word is…… Read more »

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

What are they sniveling about now? What did I do? Are they going to tell the teacher on me again?! I will just be like Strzok and say I didn’t do it even though they have his direct quotes! I had a great round of golf this afternoon with the homies…and not a single sniveler in the group. How refreshing… Now time to come back for a different kind of comedic relief! I am sure someone with come up with something before my morning coffee! I really appreciate the Rush reference. He has driven you leftist nimrods crazy for years.… Read more »

Ellynn
downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Ellyn is this really bad news? Number 1. Do you want a bunch of bozo economists trying to see how much slower the economy will be if some socialist fool is elected and raises 242 taxes and passes so many regulations that it makes it almost impossible to start a business? Ask a small business guy if he misses Obama. The answer without fail is HELL NO! Bear market indicator–due to optimism….lets get back to a terrible economy and rampant pessimism ….and stocks down 50% AND A GREAT TIME TO BUY! After no significant drop in 8 years, stocks are… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

It’s good to have countercyclical sentiment. It moderates, prevents bubbles, reduces long-term risk.
And in this case, it’s also logical, with multiple unresolved self-imposed trade conflicts, with the government shut-down show-down nearing, etc.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Ladies and gentlemen: I present the latest example of Trump Derangement Syndrome!!
https://sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2018/09/11/man-assaults-republican-congressional-candidate-switchblade-castro-valley/

Noway2016
Noway2016

Absolute crickets….Yall have no problem with this attack. None whatsoever. Just like the baseball field attack. Support The Agenda…The Narrative…

Ellynn
Ellynn

Why should we reply. We all know its horrible. If we say anything that even hints its not horrible you’re just going to keep going on and on and on about it and take great glee in telling every one how we are mindless socialists and TGM is going to do this and going to do that and blah blah blah.

Your dog and pony show needs new material.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Well, the stabbing was definitely new. I don’t make the news. Let’s see what your side does tomorrow….

Ellynn
Ellynn

I, Don’t, Have. A, Side.

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

I guess this is part of the Obama let’s tone down the rhetoric initiative….I guess its better than shooting the softball team…

Ellynn
Ellynn

And there it is, just a hint and DTM goes on the attack. Even whips out a Olde ‘It Obama’s Fault’ implication. Blah, blah blah. No engagement – just “we are MAGA” and the rest of you are all ‘lowlife little lib snowflakes’.

Again. Find new material.

bethebalance
bethebalance

Yeah, I was going to say you heard crickets because not everyone can post at 10pm-
so what you may have heard was cicadas, not crickets.
Some nights I can, but not always.
My official response: Stabbing bad.

bethebalance
bethebalance

I also don’t have a “side”. For example, if I lived in the 1860s, I would be a Republican. The “sides” change with time (duh). And as with life, you can also either evolve or live like a Grump.

Noway2016
Noway2016

Question: Does this stabbing make it more or less likely the Deplorables will show up in greater numbers in November?

Ellynn
Ellynn

Not a factor. His core voters were already going to show up. The one time Trump voters hate all politicians, so is a wash for them.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

What he’s written about are words enough. MAGA.

Ellynn
Ellynn

While we all worry over Florence, recall the events of 17 years ago… House Ways and Means tomorrow is set to force Tax Cut 2.0 out of committee, hopefully for a floor vote by next week.

No hearing, no reading of bill, no oversight…

http://reason.com/blog/2018/09/11/tax-reform-2-republicans-budget-debt?utm_medium=email

Ellynn
Ellynn

Lets just set the law, the politics and the human aspect aside… Lets ask the big question, how much is this costing? What is HHS not paying for to pay for this? How much is this costing the military where they use bases? Who is getting the contracts for this? Are the bib or no bib contract?

https://www.dallasnews.com/news/immigration/2018/09/11/us-triple-number-beds-tent-camp-immigrant-children-near-el-paso

Ellynn
Ellynn

The news Gods are listening to me!!!

As I said just and hour ago, FEMA is the redheaded step child of DHS.

https://www.axios.com/trump-transfer-almost-10k-from-fema-budget-to-ice–c6023a2f-5778-4c6d-992e-3f6da13bce25.html

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Ellynn,

Why are we wasting money on FEMA? As the Great Man has already shown, he can solve natural disasters by throwing paper towels at people. Puerto Rico was a great success!

Ellynn
Ellynn

The heir to Socialist, Medicare for all Bernie has LOST his bid to be a US Congress man… That’s right the socialist commie pinko Lennonistic Marxist golden child LOST. To a gay man. (written in sarcastic font)

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/bernie-sanders-son-levi-loses-new-hampshire-congressional-primary/ar-BBNcJ2m?ocid=spartanntp

downthemiddle
downthemiddle

Ellynn, how did I forget how the libs literally turned taking a whiz into a controversy?! I can’t believe I forgot another act of SHEER IDIOCY! Okay, who thinks letting a guy take a whiz in any bathroom he wants to depending on what side of the bed he wakes up on is a good idea? Do any of you have a daughter? I do. Tell me that does not bother you? I don’t believe you. I think it is utter nonsense and only a liberal goober could be twisted enough to come up with that. If you are a… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

This issue really puts a kink in your underwear, eh?
Maybe it Depends.

I personally support the creation of more privatized bathroom spaces. Dudes are gross.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

The problem is YOU. Not us. . I would contend that the problem is you and whatever stew of paternal neglect and long-simmering self-hatred has led you to the point where you’re ranting about liberals and LGBT individuals on a state politics-focused blog at 11:47 p.m. . I have two daughters who, by virtue of being infants, don’t currently need to use public restrooms. Even if they did use public restrooms, I’ve got no problem with a transgender woman using the same bathroom as them. One, the data shows that transgender individuals are significantly more likely to be the victim… Read more »

bethebalance
bethebalance

You forget ACP, that DTM assumes all individuals to be as bad as recognizing frauds as he is. The one image I always have is some hack trying to play dress-up just to get into a women’s restroom. As if anybody in or around that bathroom would be fooled. And the cops called pretty quickly.
And if you’ve gotten good at the cross-dressing part, then at the point, you’re probably legitimately exploring that side of your gender identity.

bethebalance
bethebalance

New poll:
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/cnn-poll-gap-between-mueller-trump-approval-grows/ar-BBNdINM?ocid=ientp

My hot take: Based upon the fact that “Around 7 in 10 (72%) say they think Trump should testify under oath for Mueller if asked,” I am going to suggest that in Trump’s “base”, there is at least 10 points (20% of Republicans) that only give soft support. I.e. there could be a bridge that would be too far for them to cross.