Morning Reads WITH PEACE

Our CD-6-inflicted nightmare is finally over.

While it seems a bit late: happy Father’s Day! “Accidents Will Happen” by Elvis Costello.

  1. Related: Gunshots are the third leading killer of children in the U.S. 
  2. Good thing we don’t have a gun problem in this country.
  3. Today is the most important vote of the week. 
  4. From the FBI to Emory Law School: Atlanta Big Law is Takin’ Over!
  5. Murals are the next major legal fight in Atlanta. 
  6. Polk County inmates to deputy: we got you, fam.
  7. Like the rest of the Trump Administration, Chris Wray can’t go a week without a mini-scandal. 
  8. Inside F1’s Quest for World Domination. 

 

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xdog
xdog

Today is the first day of summer. The 2017 Northern Hemisphere summer solstice was at 12:24 AM. Be glad you’re not in Phoenix where it’s too hot for some planes to takeoff.

Noway2016
Noway2016

You know, timing is everything – in politics and with non-political job opportunities. In Ossoff’s case, there were no heavyweight political legacy candidates vying for Price’s seat. No Jason, no Michele, no Kasim. He seemingly appeared out of nowhere. And he almost pulled it off. Right place. Right time. I really have to tip my hat in his direction. Same applies to Karen. I don’t know what political opportunities she had on her mind before Price got the nod. Interesting times.

xdog
xdog

Pennsylvania starts growing medical marijuana. Here’s a look at the business at the greenhouse level.

Noway2016
Noway2016

I’m all for it! Now bring back the same opportunities for the “bootleggers”, who before the 1900’s were often looked upon highly in their communities for their alcohol inspired creations!

chamblee54
chamblee54

Pro Tip to future campaigners: Don’t make a vulgar joke about your last name the campaign slogan. #VoteyourOssoff got old and annoying.
https://twitter.com/KellyannePolls/status/877355893905666048

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

This interminable slog has me wondering if we’re doing elections all wrong. There were 63 days between election day (April 18) and the run-off (June 8). Sixty. Three. Days. Theresa May called for a snap election on April 18, the same day as “round 1” in GA-06. The UK, a country with 65 million people that still uses paper ballots, was able to dissolve their Parliament and have a nation-wide election faster than a Congressional district with a population of approximately 692,000. The French held their Presidential election on April 23 and the run-off on May 7. That’s two weeks… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Instant runoff, though it may not have made a difference in GA-6, is better than Georgia’s current system.

Saltycracker
Saltycracker

Agree, the voters have been ready. TV stations loved it.

Who ever made big bucks staging Ossoff ads, his deceptive political positioning, his facial expressions and the nausous volume of them needs a Trumpism: “you’re fired.”

Will Durant
Will Durant

Isn’t the long delay between election/primary and the final/runoff a federal/VRA mandated thing? If the Perdue-Nunn race had gone to a runoff then we would have been voting after the start of the session. However the possible Deal-Carter runoff was mandated by the GA Constitution to be run before the year’s end. Also it would have meant a total of 5 trips to the polls for Republicans during that cycle. I think we can all agree that this is SNAFU in the original context of that acronym. The State should be just as agnostic to party affiliation as it should… Read more »

in_atl
in_atl

So, the DPoG Stacey Abrams strategy is now 0-3. This strategy consists of: A) ignoring the actual moderate Democrats who governed this state with an iron fist for decades and still exist in pretty good numbers B) finding left-liberal Democrats who have never held public office – or have not for very long – and have no voting record or campaign statements to pin them down on to pretend to be moderate Democrats and clearing the primary of opposition. Well scratch that … allow nominal, unfunded opposition from the left to make the preferred candidate look better, but no challenges… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Ideological diversity in the GOP? Climate change, guns, abortion, tax cuts for the rich, anti-environment and anti-regulation, repeal Obamacare, defense spending….

Well I guess you got the spectrum on gays…from anti-gay to grudging acceptance gays have rights under law as second-class citizens.

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Where does Karen Handel’s position of “I’m ok with gay people until I need to discard them for electoral convenience” fit in that spectrum?

in_atl
in_atl

Simple. It shows that there is ideological diversity in the GOP. When Handel was representing Fulton County, she was a social liberal. When she ran for secretary of state, she was an agnostic on social issues because they weren’t relevant to the position. When she ran for governor, senator and in the 6th district, she took social positions that were just conservative enough to be competitive in the primary while not enough to cause her north Fulton power base to abandon her en masse. You may call that an unconscionable lack of principle. So do a lot of GOP primary… Read more »

in_atl
in_atl

Well, yes there is ideological diversity in the GOP. There are plenty of north Fulton and north DeKalb GOPers who support climate change (and did back when it was called “global warming” too!), making firearm ownership illegal, making abortion the only medical procedure that is completely exempt from all federal/state/local regulation, oppose supply side economics, support environmental regulation and alternative energy etc. We know this because Karen Handel was one of them. It is impossible to get elected in Fulton, DeKalb and similar places – i.e. Athens – while being a mainstream Republican. Oh yes … there is also Johnny… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

“Well, yes there is ideological diversity in the GOP. There are plenty of north Fulton and north DeKalb GOPers who support climate change (and did back when it was called “global warming” too!), making firearm ownership illegal, making abortion the only medical procedure that is completely exempt from all federal/state/local regulation, oppose supply side economics, support environmental regulation and alternative energy etc.” Individuals. By that token, there’s as much diversity in the Democratic Party. My point concerned the national GOP, not local electeds. “We know this because Karen Handel was one of them.” Yeah, Handel joined the Log Cabin Republicans… Read more »

in_atl
in_atl

With all due respect the post that you replied to was “So, the DPoG Stacey Abrams strategy is now 0-3.” By going “My point concerned the national GOP, not local electeds” when my post was ENTIRELY about local electeds and contrasting the DPoG’s long history of electoral dominance as a big tent party that included both urban liberals, suburban moderates and rural conservatives to their preferring to lose in modern times in order to remain ideologically narrow, you were either trolling or wasting time. Or both. Which is it? “Yeah, Handel joined the Log Cabin Republicans to get elected despite… Read more »

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

I’ve been holding off because there’s so much wrong with everything you’ve posted this AM and I don’t really have the time to adequately address it. I do want to push back on a one point here… “the DPoG’s long history of electoral dominance as a big tent party that included both urban liberals, suburban moderates and rural conservatives” Democrats in the South, not just Georgia, have undergone a massive ideological shift since the 1960s. This shift occurred because of national Democrats’ support for Civil Rights and the Republicans’ willingness to exploit the Civil Rights issue for political gain (see… Read more »

Noway2016
Noway2016

Pollsters’ credibility once again under the magnifying glass. Seven point Ossoff lead a few days out – then a four point actual loss? Wow! I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes this morning. First Jason, Michele and Trump. Now this?

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Polls were all over the map and trending toward Handel in the last few days. I don’t think they were “off” by any stretch. The 7-point Ossoff poll looked like an outlier then. Looks like an outlier now.

bethebalance
bethebalance

I think by and large we forget about margins of error. With races decided by 4-5%, margins of error can make polls relatively toothless. And when we look at polls, we need to look at what happens when we expand the %s to the boundaries of the margins of error. And even then, based on science, the assumption is that you can only be 95% confident that you’d be right even within the totality of that expanded range. So, polling is imperfect. Useful for a rough educated guess, but not much more. Unless you’re talking about political usefulness.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

An AJC column reported that Georgia hadn’t been bothering to use $49M in federal matching funds for school nurses. State leadership hates Medicaid that much.

No worries, the state is pursuing the funding now. Just in time to waste money setting up a bureaucracy and hiring nurses as the national GOP reduces Medicaid funding. It’s what GOP fiscal conservatives do.

https://www.ajc.com/news/state–regional-education/feds-consider-medicaid-cuts-state-pursues-million-for-school-nurses/7SzeBlsyPQavsZiqT02SBP/

Saltycracker
Saltycracker

Apparently you aren’t familiar with school nurses. They have various reasons to work for half what they could in the private sector. The most typical being they are care driven for healthy children, like our schools and may like being on their child’s day schedule. Doesn’t matter what economic level is involved, today’s schools have an increasing population of children with all kinds of health issues. And with more single or working parents they may not get the health observation needed. The poorer the child the more likely they need this service or be sent to school with issues including… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

I am not opposed to more school nurses. The comment was a poke at the state having passed up funding only for benefits for the poor, then seek it when it would be less efficiently spent.

Will Durant
Will Durant

Seth Meyers taped a segment of his show hours before the polls closed in CD6 with a fake Democratic Party pundit: Under the scenario in which Ossoff wins, the pundit said, “It is not an overstatement to say that the political world was turned on its head tonight” and that “anything short of victory would have been a disappointment.” And if he loses? “We always knew this was going to be a long shot. The fact that Jon Ossoff was even competitive was a major win for the Democratic Party.” If he wins, “This election was always going to be… Read more »

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Great stuff from Cook Political Report this morning. The hype may have been Ossoff’s undoing.
http://cookpolitical.com/story/10391

in_atl
in_atl

That’s if you believe that Ossoff ever had a chance to begin with. A legitimate moderate who could have cast himself as being more conservative than Fulton County Commission chair/Fulton Chamber of Commerce/Secretary of State-era Karen Handel would have. (Handel has run to the right since then, but has no record in office of serving as a conservative, which is why she has yet to win a GOP primary for an office that anyone cares about outside of Fulton County.) But a guy with no record and doing his level best to avoid revealing his actual position on controversial and… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Ossoff would have won April 18th in any of the 39 states that don’t have runoffs. And I don’t think the GOP would have had the discipline to unite about one candidate if there wasn’t a runoff. The 5% win in the deep red SC race is another red flag.

augusta52
augusta52

Well, don’t get too used to the airwaves being free of political ads—the Atlanta mayoral race is four and a half months away, and it looks like Peter Aman is back on the air…. There was a lot of good commentary last night from varying sources on the airwaves—Mike Hassinger and Ladawn Jones raised good questions about polling results (anyone remember the Survey USA one that had Ossoff up by 7 a few weeks ago?), and David Axlerod noted Ossoff’s best chance (maybe only) was getting a majority in Round 1. Ossoff got about 125,000 votes yesterday—had he gotten 100,000… Read more »

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

As always, numbers and analysis appreciated.

Noway2016
Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

While I understand the thought process, this would be a yuge mistake for House Democrats. One of the few things Democrats have going for them at the moment is the GOP’s inability to govern in a coherent or competent manner. Compare what the Democrats in the House (and Senate) were able to accomplish in the first two years of the Obama Administration: Obamacare, stimulus package, Dodd-Frank, saved the American auto industry, 2 SCOTUS judges, Lilly Ledbetter, etc. with what Republicans have accomplished since January: Gorsuch and a halfway done Obamacare repeal. Granted, the GOP still has time to spare, but… Read more »

The Eiger
The Eiger

Of course I want the democrats to dump Nancy. That’s mostly because she runs a tight ship and is able to herd her cats better than we are. There is no doubt that when she was speaker she was able to get things done. I envy that. She ruled with an iron fist that kept her folks in line. I respect that and wish my team had that ability. Many of our cats really are stupid and need herding. Paul Ryan is many things. Most of them good. He is not a Nancy Pelosi style leader. Meaning he tries to… Read more »

Andrew C. Pope
Andrew C. Pope

Yeah, tried to specify that the first go-round at AHCA was a disaster… second was a much better go. To Ryan’s credit, the GOP caucus is full of a lot of “stupid cats,” something Boehner struggled with as well. I think Boehner was certainly more inclined to use force and threats to get his folks in line. Maybe Ryan should drop the nice guy shtick and start knocking some skulls together. I agree McConnell is one of the smartest and savviest majority leaders we’ve had in some time. I think that his tactics have done irreparable damage to the Senate… Read more »

MikeSilver
MikeSilver

Paul Ryan isn’t stuggling. He is accomplishing his goals as a Never-Trumper exceedingly well.

When him as Speaker, there is no chance Pres. Trump’s campaign promises ever see the light of day.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

At least Benghazi is being given a break.