Stacey Evans Considering a Run for Governor

This is big news.

Stacey Evans has long been considered in Democratic circles as the type of candidate who could unlock our demographic box and appeal to the type of varied constituency that is needed to win a statewide race. In polls, her negatives are almost non-existent (though her name ID is low), she is heavily linked with protecting the HOPE scholarship, which remains the most popular government-related anything among Georgians.

The mantle of the HOPE scholarship and who protects it is battled for in every Georgia governor’s race, and on whose shoulders it comes to rest has marked the winner in every race since Zell Miller propelled himself to victory on its mere concept.

A different Stacey, Abrams, is widely rumored to be running for Governor, and a Stacey vs. Stacey matchup would give Georgia Democrats a sharp contrast in style and story. Who will voters identify with? Who will be their champion? With polls suggesting that a Trump presidency means a Georgia that is in play, which one of these women is most likely to become Georgia’s next Governor?

 

 

10 thoughts on “Stacey Evans Considering a Run for Governor”

  1. “Stacey Evans has long been considered in Democratic circles as the type of candidate who could unlock our demographic box and appeal to the type of varied constituency that is needed to win a statewide race”

    So… like Senator Michelle Nunn?

          1. Dems typically pull in the low to mid-40s in that district? Price never pulled lower than 65%, and was frequently unopposed for reelection. (Same with Isakson). Obama pulled 40% and 37.5%, respectively, in the 6th. So he’s doing a bit more than 2% better. As I pointed out in the thread on the most recent poll, the number that mattered, combined D vs. combined R, was D 44 R 48. That’s not pace to lose big time at all. It’s clearly going to be the closest race the sixth district has seen in decades.

            Will he win? Probably not. But 5 pts for a district that has consistently gone GOP 2 to 1 up and down the ballot? That matters. Trump did a lot worse than normal for the GOP candidate in a lot of sunbelt suburban GOP districts where House candidates ran way ahead of him. If his negative coattails are real and already showing, that matters a lot for 2018. There are 23 districts like that that HRC won with GOP Congressmen, and plenty more where, like the 6th, the margin greatly shrunk even if he still won the district. Dems will be targeting those next year. A big improvement in April/June would help candidate recruitment in a lot of those places by showing potential Dem House candidates a path to victory. That stuff matters.

  2. In a Stacey v. Stacey match-up, I think Evans handles it pretty easily. She’s from the “other Georgia” that gets so often mentioned these days, so being able to raise money elsewhere outside of Atlanta would help put her over the top in the primary and would probably give her a better shot during the general election.

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