If All Delegates Were Allocated Proportionally, Trump Would Have Fewer Than He Does Now

There has been plenty of speculation recently over whether presidential candidate Donald J. Trump has been cheated out of delegates he should or should not have had to date in the primary process. In fact, Trump has received 204 more delegates than he would have if the delegates had been allocated by the percentage of the statewide vote in its primary or caucus.

The table below, which was developed by former Georgia GOP Vice-Chairman (and Romney Delegate from the 7th District) BJ Van Gundy tells the tale. Dividing the total number of delegates for a state by the number of delegates won by Trump gives the Delegate percentage won by The Donald. The Vote percentage column is the actual percentage of the votes Trump won, and the rightmost column is the number of delegates Trump should have gotten. It is determined by multiplying the number of delegates available by the percentage of the vote.

Of course, delegates are bound to a candidate for a certain number of ballots, ranging from one in Georgia to three in Florida. Other states have other requirements. Thanks again to a Georgia Tech graduate for setting us straight on the issue.

State Primary Date Total Delegates Trump Delegates Delegate % Vote % Trump Outcome Delegates if by Voter %
Iowa February 3 23 7 30% 24%  Advantage 6
New Hampshire February 9 20 11 55% 35% Advantage 7
South Carolina February 20 50 50 100% 33% Advantage 16
Nevada February 23 28 14 50% 46% Advantage 13
Alabama March 1 50 36 72% 43% Advantage 22
Alaska March 1 38 11 29% 36% Disadvantage 14
Arkansas March 1 40 16 40% 33% Advantage 13
Georgia March 1 76 42 55% 39% Advantage 30
Massachussetts March 1 42 22 52% 49% Advantage 21
Minnesota March 1 38 8 21% 21% Even 8
Oklahoma March 1 40 13 33% 28% Advantage 11
Tennessee March 1 58 33 57% 39% Advantage 23
Texas March 1 155 48 31% 27% Advantage 41
Vermont March 1 16 8 50% 33% Advantage 5
Virginia March 1 46 17 37% 35% Advantage 16
Kansas March 5 40 9 23% 23% Even 9
Kentucky March 5 46 17 37% 36% Even 17
Louisiana March 5 41 18 44% 41% Advantage 17
Maine March 5 23 9 39% 33% Advantage 8
Puerto Rico March 6 23 0 0% 13% Disadvantage 3
Hawaii March 8 19 11 58% 43% Advantage 8
Idaho March 8 32 12 38% 28% Advantage 9
Michigan March 8 59 25 42% 37% Advantage 22
Mississippi March 8 40 25 63% 47% Advantage 19
Washington DC March 12 19 0 0% 14% Disadvantage 3
Wyoming NA 25 1 4% 7% Advantage 2
Florida March 15 99 99 100% 46% Advantage 46
Illinois March 15 69 54 78% 39% Advantage 27
Missouri March 15 52 37 71% 41% Advantage 21
North Carolina March 15 71 29 41% 40% Advantage 28
North Mariana March 15 9 9 100% 73% Advantage 7
Ohio March 15 66 0 0% 36% Disadvantage 23
Arizona March 22 58 58 100% 47% Advantage 27
Utah March 22 40 0 0% 69% Disadvantage 28
Wisconsin April 5 42 6 14% 35% Disadvantage 15
Colorado NA 30 0 0% NA Disadvantage NA
New York April 19 92 89 97% 60% Advantage 55

Total or Average

1715 844 49% 37% 640

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Yuppie Pundit
Yuppie Pundit

HA! Knew this was a Jon Richards post. Still had to click.

xdog
xdog

If delegates were allocated differently, candidates would have different totals. So?

Don’t expect this breakdown to impress the Trumpists either.

Bart
Bart

Not sure this applies since Trump is making a point about certain states allocating delegates without recognition of voter input. Trump cleverly dumps on establishment types after they use rules to make sure he gets fewer delegates from their respective states (nothing illegal, but doesn’t pass the smell test for many folks). As Andre pointed out in another thread, it’s about perception and so far Trump is the man against the machine with him winning most encounters. The GOP is failing miserably in a battle of perception just as it has for years no matter the adversary (dems, internal, 3rd… Read more »

joe
joe

It must be a rigged system, designed to give Trump the advantage!