Trump and Clinton Lead in New Georgia Poll
WSB TV is out with a new poll of likely Georgia primary voters conducted by Landmark Communications that was taken Thursday evening. On the Republican side, Donald Trump still leads the field, although his support has dropped by 16 points since a previous December poll. On the Democratic side. Hillary Clinton leads over Bernie Sanders by a wide margin.
27.3% of likely GOP voters favor Donald Trump. Ted Cruz at 18.3% and Marco Rubio at 18.2% are in a virtual tie for second place. Fourth place goes to Ben Carson with 7.7%. The remaining GOP candidates all register under 5%. 15.4% are undecided. The Georgia results reflect what’s been seen in both national and New Hampshire polls after Cruz won in Iowa, followed by Trump and Rubio. Trump’s support is strongest with men outside of metro Atlanta. Cruz’s support is similar, with more support by men living away from Metro Atlanta. Rubio’s support is roughly equal from men and women, both inside and outside Atlanta. Dr. Carson does espeecially well with women, while Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and John Kasich do better in Atlanta than they do elsewhere in the Peach State.
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders, 63.3% to 21.5%. 15.2% are undecided. More than two thirds of African Americans prefer Clinton to Sanders, however, Sanders’s support by those under age 40 is less than his support from voters between 40 and 65.
The Republican poll consisted of 500 likely primary voters, and has a margin of error of 4.4%. The Democratic poll had 600 likely voters, and has a margin of error of 4%. Look at the Republican and Democratic crosstabs, and tell us what you think.
About Author
Jon Richards
Add a Comment
You must be logged in to post a comment.
I find it quizzical that Sanders polls 2-1 better in the 40-64 age group over the 18-39 years old group. Even his 65+ group polls higher than the young’uns. Any idea how that compares to his national polling for those age groups?
Agree, surprised me to as that was contrary to everything I’ve read. Googled it and the articles were how he is crushing it in the 18-39 yr olds – millennials – in the areas they were addressingl
16. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough
about him?
AGE IN YRS………….18-34 … 35-49 … 50-64 … 65+
Favorable ……………..60% … 41% … 41% … 36%
Unfavorable ………….19 ….. 43 … 39 … 38
Hvn’t hrd enough…..19 ….. 16 ….. 19 … 23
12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven’t you heard enough
about her?
AGE IN YRS………….. 18-34… 35-49 … 50-64 … 65+
Favorable…… ……. ……..39% … 34% … 42% … 41%
Unfavorable……. …… ……55 …. 63 … 54 … 56
Hvn’t hrd enough………. 5 ….. 2 …. 2 … 1
REFUSED………………………1 …….. 2 ….. 2 ….. 2
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us02052016_Ust53w.pdf
Calypso, Salty and Bennie, very observant. You noted one of the peculiarities of the Georgia electorate.
Georgia, like other Southern states, has a very large African American population, and African American voters are heavily going to Clinton.
Heavy. As in … Sanders is literally polling like he was a Republican among this demographic: very poorly.
The African American vote is much younger than the “White vote” in Georgia. So when you see polls of other states, or polls of a national nature, you do see younger voters are going to Sanders.
However, only 13% of the national population is African American. Here in Georgia it is in the low 30s.
So the fact that black voters going 77% for Clinton to 11% for Sanders, it creates a different “youth vote” scenario in Georgia.
In other words, it’s the different demographic make up of the Georgia electorate that makes the support among young people appear low: because this is a state with an enormous African American population, unlike Iowa, New Hampshire, or virtually any other state.
“The African American vote is much younger than the “White vote” in Georgia. ”
Interesting. I’ve not heard of that situation before.
Whatever the racial or sex breakout, It doesn’t conflict with my opinion that with millennials the primary drivers are economic issues not social which are their smoke screens. The majority expect free education, free basics, free health, public jobs and free stuff in a scary world they can’t cope with. (The enemy is us)
While a lesser number of them get it and will play a major role in dramatically increasing the income spread.
So the millennials want free stuff and their parents don’t want to pay any taxes. We are screwed.