Incumbents Likely to Keep U.S. House Seats

There hasn’t been a lot of polling done on U.S. House seats that are contested on Tuesday. Landmark Communications decided to do some polling on its own to determine the status of four races, in the 3rd, 8th, 11th, and 12th distrricts, and it appears Republicans are on the way to winning each one.

The 3rd district is an open seat, brought about by the retirement of Lynn Westmoreland. Republican Drew Ferguson won the GOP primary, and appears to be on his way to Washington in January. Ferguson is at 63%, and Democrat Angela Pendley polls at 31%. 6% are undecided. The poll of 400 likely voters has a margin of error of 4.9%.

In the 8th district, Republican incumbent Austin Scott leads Democratic challenger James Neal Harris, 60% to 34%, with 6% undecided. For that poll, 375 likely voters were contacted, with a margin of error of 5.4%.

Incumbent Republican Barry Loudermilk appears likely to keep his 11th district seat. He leads Democrat Don Wilson my a margin of 63% to 33% with 4% undecided. The poll of 300 people has a margin of error of 5.5%.

In the 12th district, incumbent Republican Rick Allen leads his Democratic challenger Patricia Carpenter McCracken by 14 points, 55% to 41%. 4% were undecided. With 400 people polled, it is a 4.9% margin of error.

All four polls were conducted last Thursday, November 3rd.

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Mark RountreeDave Bearsexdog Recent comment authors
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Things must be slow at Landmark.

Dave Bearse
Dave Bearse

Money to burn was my thought.

Mark Rountree
Mark Rountree

We didn’t poll to find out if they’d win. We were in the field to determine the difference between Trump and the incumbent GOP congressmen.


That difference would have been interesting to read about.