On the eve of the Republican National Convention, an extensive state-by-state poll by Morning Consult shows Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton would win the presidency with an electoral college vote of 320-212. Morning Consult polled 57,000 voters in its survey, which took place between April and June.
In Georgia, Clinton leads, although within the margin of error. The poll has Clinton at 42.8%, Trump at 41.8% and 15.5% undecided, with a margin of error of 1.7%. Morning Consult’s previous poll, conducted last winter, had Trump at 45.3% and Clinton at 39.0%. 15.7% were undecided. That poll had a margin of error of 2%. The changing poll results moved the Peach State from the “Solid Trump” column to the “Leaning Clinton” column.
Of course, this poll did not consider the revelation that Hillary Clinton would not be indicted for operating a private mail server while Secretary of State, nor does it consider what might happen at the parties national conventions later this month. The other major factor that could affect Georgia’s vote would be naming favorite son Newt Gingrich as Trump’s Vice Presidential pick.